Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.479791 0.527907 0.579594 0.639380 0.706801 0.780671 0.867992
2025-10-26 0.402610 0.469385 0.546348 0.642202 0.759195 0.898389 1.078083
2025-11-02 0.359433 0.435511 0.527452 0.647932 0.803401 0.999684 1.270149
2025-11-09 0.320170 0.399463 0.498831 0.634294 0.816965 1.058878 1.410562
2025-11-16 0.297053 0.380257 0.487917 0.639967 0.853349 1.148635 1.600006
2025-11-23 0.274404 0.358955 0.471372 0.635031 0.872808 1.214849 1.761717
2025-11-30 0.258163 0.344493 0.462192 0.638457 0.903057 1.298014 1.957591
2025-12-07 0.240400 0.326298 0.445960 0.629619 0.913327 1.350914 2.110854
2025-12-14 0.224976 0.310131 0.431119 0.621062 0.922395 1.401695 2.265670
2025-12-21 0.207791 0.290183 0.409198 0.599656 0.908748 1.413595 2.353645
2025-12-28 0.200894 0.284799 0.408356 0.610566 0.947647 1.515876 2.616189
2026-01-04 0.194098 0.279040 0.406395 0.619264 0.983260 1.615723 2.887880
2026-01-11 0.186501 0.271731 0.401744 0.623536 1.012319 1.708289 3.162282
2026-01-18 0.179137 0.264337 0.396458 0.626297 1.038959 1.799466 3.448909
2026-01-25 0.172988 0.258434 0.393081 0.631856 1.070854 1.903742 3.779923
2026-02-01 0.163589 0.246783 0.379553 0.618626 1.066601 1.936691 3.958281
2026-02-08 0.158516 0.241837 0.376779 0.624129 1.098065 2.044487 4.326421
2026-02-15 0.151933 0.234034 0.368691 0.619341 1.108990 2.110855 4.607072
2026-02-22 0.147250 0.229126 0.365208 0.622664 1.136097 2.214416 4.998663
2026-03-01 0.140881 0.221048 0.355760 0.614090 1.138219 2.263462 5.258380
2026-03-08 0.134981 0.213484 0.346796 0.605788 1.140101 2.312052 5.525912
2026-03-15 0.127497 0.202866 0.331881 0.585015 1.113949 2.293378 5.603614
2026-03-22 0.125255 0.201234 0.332969 0.595603 1.155862 2.439243 6.181773